Contents
Key Highlights:
- Arsenal squander a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 with Aston Villa.
- Liverpool secure a dramatic 2-0 win at Brentford thanks to Darwin Nunez’s late heroics.
- Opta’s supercomputer reveals Liverpool’s dominant title-winning chances.
Matchday 22: A Decisive Turn in the Premier League Title Race
Liverpool extended their lead at the top of the Premier League table with a stunning 2-0 victory at Brentford, courtesy of two stoppage-time goals from Darwin Nunez. Hours later, Arsenal failed to capitalize on their own lead, allowing Aston Villa to fight back for a 2-2 draw at the Emirates.
With these results, Liverpool now hold a six-point advantage over Arsenal and have the luxury of a game in hand, which will take place at Everton next month. The title race may still have twists and turns to come, but the latest predictions paint a clear picture of Liverpool’s dominance.
Opta’s Supercomputer Premier League Predictions

Title Winning Probabilities:
- Liverpool: 91.5% chance of lifting the Premier League trophy.
- Arsenal: 8.2% chance of catching up and winning the title.
- Manchester City: 0.2% chance of completing an improbable turnaround.
- Nottingham Forest: 0.1% chance of pulling off a historic upset.
The data underscores Liverpool’s commanding position as they chase their first Premier League title under new manager Arne Slot. Arsenal, despite a strong season, face an uphill battle to close the gap.
Even with Manchester City sitting in eighth place, the reigning champions retain an outside shot at making history, albeit with a slim probability. Newcastle and Chelsea, who occupy fourth and fifth spots respectively, are considered out of the running entirely.
Current Title Race Standings
| Rank | Club | Probability of Winning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 91.5% |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8.2% |
| 3 | Manchester City | 0.2% |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest | 0.1% |
Analysis
Liverpool’s late victory over Brentford highlights their resilience, while Arsenal’s inability to hold on to a two-goal lead against Aston Villa could prove costly. With a six-point cushion and a game in hand, Liverpool are clear favorites to win their second Premier League title.
For Arsenal, consistency will be key if they are to challenge Liverpool in the remaining matches. Meanwhile, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest would require nothing short of a miracle to stage a title-winning comeback.












