Arsenal made a huge statement in the Premier League title race by demolishing Manchester City 5-1 at the Emirates. However, despite their dominant performance, Liverpool remain the firm favorites to lift the trophy, according to Opta’s supercomputer.
With the Reds maintaining a six-point lead with a game in hand, can Arsenal mount a late title challenge, or is Liverpool’s grip on the league too strong?
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Arsenal’s Dominant Win Over Manchester City
Mikel Arteta’s side delivered a masterclass on Sunday, crushing the reigning champions with a stunning 5-1 victory. This result not only ended City’s title aspirations but also reaffirmed Arsenal’s own credentials as a top contender.
Yet, despite this emphatic win, Opta’s data-driven predictions suggest that Arsenal’s title hopes remain slim.
Premier League 2024/25 Supercomputer Predictions
| Position | Team | Expected Points | Title Chances (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 88.4 | 90.74% |
| 2 | Arsenal | 79.82 | 9.18% |
| 3 | Man City | 68.94 | 0.04% |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest | 66.99 | 0.03% |
| 5 | Chelsea | 65.35 | 0.01% |
| 6 | Newcastle | 62.82 | 0% |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 62.38 | 0% |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 56.5 | 0% |
| 9 | Fulham | 53.79 | 0% |
| 10 | Brighton | 53.26 | 0% |
| 11 | Brentford | 49.18 | 0% |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 49.12 | 0% |
| 13 | Man Utd | 47.65 | 0% |
| 14 | Tottenham | 46.77 | 0% |
| 15 | West Ham | 45.94 | 0% |
| 16 | Everton | 42.36 | 0% |
| 17 | Wolves | 34.9 | 0% |
| 18 | Leicester | 27.96 | 0% |
| 19 | Ipswich | 27.0 | 0% |
| 20 | Southampton | 18.53 | 0% |
Can Arsenal Catch Liverpool?
Even after their historic win against City, Arsenal’s title-winning probability sits at just 9.18%, compared to Liverpool’s commanding 90.74%.
The key problem for Arsenal? Liverpool’s consistency and resilience. The Reds have survived three tough away matches in 2025 without dropping points, including a 2-0 win at Bournemouth.
With an expected final tally of 88.4 points, Liverpool are on course for their second Premier League title, while Arsenal’s projected 79.82 points suggest that they will fall short once again.
Surprise Teams & Struggles for Giants
- Man City’s sharp decline – The supercomputer projects their worst-ever finish under Guardiola, with only 68.94 expected points.
- Nottingham Forest shockingly in top 4 – A massive overperformance from Steve Cooper’s side could see them qualify for the Champions League.
- Manchester United & Tottenham set for historically poor seasons – United’s 47.65 points would be their worst-ever tally, while Spurs barely improve on their 2007/08 total of 46 points.
- Relegation battle intensifies – Leicester, Ipswich, and Southampton are predicted to go down, with Leicester having just a 10.9% survival chance.
💬 Do you think Arsenal can still challenge Liverpool for the title? Is Man City’s dominance finally over? Share your thoughts below!
